Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 960.058973 1081.076507 1213.034977 1367.859135 1544.853877 1741.247470 1976.181622
2026-01-11 773.870456 938.077904 1132.265603 1379.940331 1688.988353 2063.904001 2556.212185
2026-01-18 667.354053 850.310944 1078.961413 1387.902950 1797.771488 2327.514885 3071.544259
2026-01-25 602.373668 799.175134 1056.454822 1420.987784 1929.919677 2623.701712 3655.596208
2026-02-01 547.626128 751.870304 1029.314975 1438.790227 2036.305035 2889.702351 4224.959713
2026-02-08 500.638150 708.308678 1000.081532 1446.561091 2124.309099 3133.779654 4787.676431
2026-02-15 463.649004 674.069979 978.912085 1461.095896 2220.176099 3395.721617 5406.653975
2026-02-22 435.522740 649.361650 968.120815 1488.197307 2335.504887 3697.126452 6124.583458
2026-03-01 396.834804 604.702945 922.306519 1454.673007 2348.446564 3832.313190 6576.507003
2026-03-08 360.369488 560.076510 872.130104 1408.241840 2333.455987 3916.423412 6945.381932
2026-03-15 328.970388 520.750888 826.754435 1364.756657 2317.655839 3995.096404 7310.817770
2026-03-22 317.086541 511.976656 830.055360 1403.496451 2448.361896 4346.105276 8234.392237
2026-03-29 301.310599 495.946423 820.680395 1420.664040 2544.779244 4650.544854 9122.028103
2026-04-05 285.803698 479.166250 808.669280 1432.053751 2632.001239 4948.600321 10043.478969
2026-04-12 271.300660 462.855749 795.898220 1440.374417 2713.468691 5243.712457 11001.182862
2026-04-19 261.990745 454.899494 797.166069 1474.847708 2849.348668 5663.667746 12296.500087
2026-04-26 251.155054 443.278335 790.660242 1493.399001 2954.582342 6031.836159 13531.132072
2026-05-03 239.802385 429.800863 779.517577 1501.497056 3038.550303 6363.811844 14732.308571
2026-05-10 230.224438 418.897103 772.301126 1516.644362 3138.768618 6743.178601 16110.803965
2026-05-17 222.886002 411.682233 771.552685 1544.889609 3270.336662 7209.535568 17788.386721
2026-05-24 208.963446 390.725267 742.172153 1509.950728 3256.522954 7334.240846 18587.841004
2026-05-31 194.693842 368.144091 707.935440 1461.566258 3206.849972 7366.841950 19142.337536
2026-06-07 181.825796 347.544072 676.313620 1416.258070 3159.832959 7400.526391 19706.374964